Exceptional deficits will persist in regions of the Levant, as well as other Middle Eastern countries, including Iran, Turkey, and Iraq. 

Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in several eastern European countries. Severe to exceptional surplus is anticipated in portions of southern and northern Europe and the Iberian Peninsula. 

Exceptional deficits in northwestern and eastern coastal Mexico will dissipate, but remain in portions of central and southern Mexico. Widespread transitional conditions will resolve in central to southern Mexico and Central America, though some surpluses will continue in Central America. 

Exceptional deficits will continue in several provinces. Northern portions of Nunavut will observe surpluses of varying intensity. 

Exceptional deficits will diminish in portions of the Southwest, but persist in several states within the region. Exceptional deficits are also expected in pockets of Texas and the Midwest, as well as the Carolinas. Alaska will observe continued surpluses. 

The forecast for April 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2025 through December 2025 in the southwestern United States, eastern Europe, Mexico, central and northern Africa, central and northern South America, and Central Asia. Areas expected to experience surplus include central and southern Africa, northeastern Australia, and portions of the Amazon rainforest.

In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.