The forecast for May 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2024 through January 2025 in South America, Africa, and Canada. Areas expected to experience surplus include central to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to continue in northern and northwestern African countries, as well as some central and southern countries. Intense surpluses are expected to emerge in areas throughout the Sahel.
The forecast indicates that intense surplus will occur in most northern and central regions of Australia, with exceptional deficits diminishing in portions of the country near its western coast. Exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Tasmania, as well as in pockets across New Zealand.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will mostly dissipate in northeastern China, but continue in northern, southern, and northwestern portions of the country. Exceptional surplus is expected to diminish in southwestern China, though moderate to severe surpluses may continue in eastern regions of the country.
The forecast for April 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2024 through December 2024 in South America, northeastern Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for March 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2023 through November 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, Canada, and southern regions of the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to southeastern Africa, Europe, northern Australia, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for February 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2023 through October 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, southern regions of the Middle East, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern Africa, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for January 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2023 through September 2024 in northeastern Africa, northern South America, the Middle East, western and northern South America, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Europe, and western Central Asia.
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