The forecast for February 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2024 through October 2025 in northwestern and central Africa, southwestern U.S., eastern Europe, and central South America. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, northern Canada, and Central America.

In this analysis, we examine the destructive 2024 floods in Yemen and revisit WSIM forecasts which predicted them.

Exceptional deficits will resolve in Mainland Southeast Asia. Some regions of Maritime Southeast Asia can anticipate moderate to severe surpluses. 

Surpluses will persist in much of north-central, south-central, and eastern India. 

Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of northwestern, western, southeastern, and northern Russia. Surpluses are expected to continue in northern Kazakhstan and in pockets of central and eastern Russia.

Surpluses will remain in northern areas of Queensland, as well as some isolated areas of Northern Territory and Western Australia. 

Widespread exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve in some areas, but remain in some portions of Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Iran. Moderate to severe surplus is anticipated in some coastal regions along the Red Sea.