Exceptional deficits throughout Africa will persist in northwestern, northern, and central countries. Surpluses will remain along the Sahel.

Exceptional deficits will remain throughout the Amazon and the Boliviarian Nations. Similar deficits will occur in northeastern coastal regions of Brazil, in Argentina, and in Chile. 

The forecast for November 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2024 through July 2025 in northern South America, Canada, northwestern and eastern China, and northern to central Africa. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.

With the release of WSIM v3 and 8 years of additional data, we reevaluate drought risk in the Amazon and the historic drought that continue to affect the region.

The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses in northern Australia will diminish, though will still remain present in some regions of Northern Territory. Exceptional deficits across the continent will similarly dissipate, though severe deficits are expected along the southern coast of Victoria. 

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern China, southwestern Mongolia, and in the Yangtze River Basin. Surpluses of severe to exceptional intensity are expected to appear in western, southern, and northeastern regions of China. 

The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses will persist throughout India and Nepal. Exceptional deficits will expand throughout regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan. 

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will occur in southwestern states, as well as in some areas of the Midwest. Severe to exceptional surpluses will linger in southern regions of Florida and in much of the noncontiguous U.S. 

The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional deficits will resolve throughout much of Southeast Asia. Exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in some countries within Mainland Southeast Asia. 

The forecast indicates that severe to extreme surpluses will continue in northern Kazakhstan. Exceptional deficits will continue primarily in regions of northern, northwestern, and southeastern Russia. 

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will diminish in southern Mexico and Central America, but expand in northwestern regions of the country. Moderate to severe surpluses are anticipated in the Yucatan Peninsula and in several regions of Central America. 

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in southern regions of the Middle East, as well as in several portions of central and eastern Iran. 

The forecast indicates that widespread exceptional deficits will subside in several regions of Africa, but remain in some central, eastern, and northern regions of the continent. Surpluses of severe to exceptional intensity are expected to emerge along the Sahel. 

The forecast indicates that exceptional surpluses will diminish in regions of central Europe, becoming moderate to severe surpluses. Deficits of severe to exceptional intensity will continue in eastern Europe. 

The forecast ending in June 2025 indicates that exceptional deficits widespread throughout South America will persist in the Amazon and in the Bolivarian Nations. Several coastal regions of Brazil will also experience exceptional deficits. 

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist across the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of Ontario and Newfoundland and Labrador. Exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in northern areas of Baffin Island.  

The forecast for October 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2024 through June 2025 in western South America, northern and central Africa, Mexico, and eastern China. Areas expected to experience surplus include the Sahel, South Asia, and noncontiguous areas of United States.

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in pockets of western and southern portions of the country. Extreme to exceptional surpluses are anticipated in west-central and northeastern regions of China. 

The forecast indicates that most exceptional anomalies in both Mainland and Maritime Southeast Asia will diminish. Exceptional surpluses will persist in regions of Myanmar and Indonesia. 

The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to endure throughout much of southern to central India. Extreme to exceptional deficits will expand throughout regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan.