
BLOG
We help you understand environmental and human security issues, impacts, vulnerability, indications and warnings.
Exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and southeastern China.
Widespread exceptional deficits in the Middle East will downgrade in size, but remain in portions of the Levant, the Arabian Peninsula, and Iran.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
While most extreme to exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will resolve, regions of Indonesia and the Philippines will observe surpluses of varying intensity. Moderate to extreme deficits are expected in regions of Sumatra, as well as northern Laos and Vietnam.
Severe to extreme surpluses will continue in areas of Queensland. Deficits are expected to occur in southern Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses in India will resolve, though severe to extreme surpluses will persist in portions of western and southeastern India. Isolated pockets of severe to exceptional deficits are anticipated in northern and eastern India, as well as some portions of Pakistan.
Exceptional deficits throughout the continent will significantly decrease in size and intensity, but will persist in some portions of Brazil. Severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to emerge in the western Amazon Basin.
Most exceptional anomalies in central and southern Mexico will resolve, becoming mostly near-normal conditions. Surpluses of varying intensity are expected to remain in portions of Central America.
Exceptional deficits will continue in many southwestern states, as well as portions of northern, southern, and eastern states. Surpluses in Alaska are expected to lessen in intensity, but remain in northern and central portions of the state.
Widespread deficits in Africa will resolve in some areas, but remain present in northwestern and central portions of the continent. Severe to exceptional surpluses along the Sahel are expected to endure, as will surpluses in southern African countries.
Exceptional deficits in the Prairie Provinces will lessen in size, but still remain in several provinces. Surpluses of varying intensity are expected in portions of the northern provinces.
The forecast for March 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2024 through November 2025 in northwestern and central Africa, southwestern U.S., eastern Europe, and central South America. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, northeastern Australia, Central America, and portions of the Amazon rainforest.
Exceptional deficits will continue in western, northern, and southeastern regions of Russia. Surpluses in Kazakhstan are expected to decrease in size but remain in small areas of the country.
Most exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will downgrade in severity, becoming mostly severe to exceptional surpluses in Indonesia and the Philippines, with near-normal conditions occurring in most other regions. Deficits are expected in northern areas of Thailand and Laos.
Pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and central Mexico. Significant portions of Central America will observe severe to exceptional surpluses.
Most exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve, but will linger in some areas of Saudi Arabia, the Levant, Oman, and Iran. Surpluses of varying intensity will continue in western coastal Yemen and southwestern Saudi Arabia.
Most exceptional surpluses in India will resolve. Some surpluses will persist in north-central and south-central India.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses will resolve in most northern regions of Australia. Isolated exceptional deficits throughout Australia are expected to resolve, but some will remain in southeastern coastal regions of the continent, as well as portions of New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits are expected to remain in northwestern and southwestern China, as well as in significant portions of the Yangtze River Basin. Moderate to severe surpluses will continue in several northeastern areas of China.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.