Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.
Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.
The forecast for February 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2023 through October 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, southern regions of the Middle East, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern Africa, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for January 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2023 through September 2024 in northeastern Africa, northern South America, the Middle East, western and northern South America, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Europe, and western Central Asia.
The forecast for December 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of September 2023 through August 2024 throughout Canada, central to northern South America, northern and southern Africa, and southern regions of the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Europe, and several regions in Southeast Asia.
The forecast for November 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2023 through July 2024 in South America, northern and southern Africa, Mexico, the Middle East, northern China, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Alaska, and various regions of Europe.
The forecast for October 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2023 through June 2024 in northern Africa, the Middle East, northern China, western and northern South America, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the western United States, Alaska, north-central Australia, and southeastern Africa.
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