The forecast anticipates intense deficits in concentrated areas of Mexico and Central America, with deficits of lesser intensity covering much of the remaining regions. Most areas in the Caribbean will experience a mixture of normal conditions and mild deficits, though Haiti may experience severe to extreme deficits.  

Deficits of varying intensity are expected to persist throughout regions of Mexico and Central America, with intense surplus appearing in areas of the Caribbean.

The 12-month forecast indicates widespread deficits across much of Mexico and Central America, mostly of mild to moderate intensity. However, intense surpluses are expected to emerge in the Caribbean.

The forecast indicates that moderate to severe water deficits will cover most of Mexico and Central America, with some isolated pockets of surplus and transitional conditions.

The forecast through May 2023 anticipates exceptional deficits to emerge throughout western coastal regions of Mexico, with mild to moderate deficits occurring across the rest of the country, and intense transitional conditions in central California Baja Sur.