Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.  

South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, Bolivarian Nations
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of central and eastern Canada. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in various regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, C and E Canada

Kitchener

Canada: Water deficits in the Prairie Provinces to retreat

Canada: Water deficits in the Prairie Provinces to retreat

The near-term forecast through November indicates a significant retreat of exceptional water deficits in the Prairie Provinces. Deficits will persist in northeastern Manitoba and are forecast for much of Alberta, where they may be more intense north of Banff National Park in the southwest and may persist through February 2018 or longer. Surpluses in Southern Ontario north of Kitchener and in Ottawa are expected to diminish, and deficits are forecast for much of Northern Ontario. Deficits will persist in New Brunswick, and emerge in Quebec east of the St. Lawrence River. 

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List September 2017

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List September 2017

Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from June 2017 through May 2018 include: Montana (US), Nayarit (Mexico), Amapá (Brazil), Italy, the Arabian Peninsula, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh (India), Cambodia, Mongolia, and Tasmania (Australia). Water surpluses are forecast for: US Gulf Coast, La Pampa (Argentina), Tanzania, Bangladesh, Tripura and Mizoram (India), western Myanmar, Laos, Jiangxi and Guangxi (China), and Transvolga (Russia). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 8 September 2017.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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