Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.  

South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, Bolivarian Nations
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of central and eastern Canada. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in various regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, C and E Canada

Finland

Europe: Water deficits to persist in many regions

Europe: Water deficits to persist in many regions

The forecast through October indicates a pattern of water anomalies similar to May through July though the intensity will downgrade in some regions. Areas of deficit include Finland, the Baltics through Ukraine, and France through Germany. Areas of surplus include Russia, Spain, and the U.K.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List August 2020

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List August 2020

Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of May 2020 through April 2021 include: Venezuela, French Guiana, Estonia, Latvia, and Quebec (Canada). Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, European Russia, and British Columbia (Canada). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 August 2020.


Europe: Water deficits in C. Europe & around the Baltic

Europe: Water deficits in C. Europe & around the Baltic

The forecast through September indicates a distribution pattern of water anomalies similar to the prior three months. Widespread deficits are expected in Central Europe and around the Baltic and Adriatic Seas. Areas of surplus include the Iberian Peninsula, the eastern Balkans, and Russia.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

For more information contact info@isciences.com.

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