Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain.
Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
The forecast through September indicates that water deficits will increase in Norway, Sweden, and northern Germany. Intense deficits will persist in Estonia and Latvia and will emerge on the Rhine River in Switzerland. Deficits will moderate in France and northern Italy. Surpluses will persist in the eastern and southern Balkans.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2020 through September 2021 include: Brazil, Estonia, Egypt, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Vietnam, southwestern India, and European Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 January 2021.
The forecast through January 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink considerably. Areas of deficit include Estonia, Latvia, and Belarus. Widespread surpluses will persist in western European Russia and in Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Austria, reaching well into surrounding nations and Romania.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2020 through July 2021 include: Venezuela, Estonia, Latvia, Jordan, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and southwestern India. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 November 2020.
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