Drier than normal conditions will continue to dominate much of northern Russia from the White Sea to the Central Siberian Plateau through July, though the extent of exceptional deficits will diminish considerably. The Ural River Basin in northwestern Kazakhstan will continue to experience exceptional surplus and surpluses are also forecast for central Kazakhstan. Overall, moderate deficits are forecast for Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, and surpluses in eastern Kyrgyzstan.
Central Asia & Russia: Water surpluses to persist in Volga Basin
Exceptional water deficits are forecast October through December in Russia from west of the Yamal Peninsula through the Central Siberian Plateau, and exceptional surpluses are forecast in the Volga River Basin, eastern Kyrgyzstan, and central and northeastern Kazakhstan. Moderate surpluses will emerge near the Gulf of Ob in Russia and to the southwest. Water deficits in eastern Turkmenistan and eastern Uzbekistan are forecast to diminish in severity. From January through March aforementioned exceptional water deficits in Russia will diminish as will surpluses in the Volga Basin. Surpluses are expected to persist in eastern Kyrgyzstan.
Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits persist in Russia from Arkhangelsk through Siberia
Widespread water deficits in Russia from Arkhangelsk through the Central Siberian Plateau are forecast to persist, though the extent of exceptional deficits will diminish in the next few months. Water surpluses in Kazakhstan will begin to transition to conditions of both deficits and surpluses. Surpluses are expected to continue to emerge in the Volga River Basin through February, and in Kyrgyzstan through May.
Central Asia: Water surpluses in central Kazakhstan, deficits in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan
Water surpluses in Kazakhstan will begin to transition to conditions of both deficits and surpluses in the next few months. Moderate to severe deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are expected to continue to emerge through November, abate for several months, and then re-emerge. Surpluses are forecast in the Ob River Basin. Both deficits and surpluses are forecast in the Volga River Basin August through October, followed by widespread and exceptional surpluses November through January.
Central Asia: Water surpluses forecast in Kazakhstan, deficits in Turkmenistan
Water surpluses are forecast to persist along rivers in Kazakhstan through March, though a transition to both deficits and surpluses is forecast January through March as abnormal to moderate deficits begin to emerge across the country. Moderate to severe deficits in Turkmenistan and parts of Uzbekistan are expected to persist through September, diminish in October, after which moderate deficits will re-emerge throughout both countries in November. A vast expanse of moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast through September across northern Russia from the White Sea through much of the Central Siberian Plateau. Surpluses are forecast in the Ob River Basin during this period which are expected to be especially widespread and severe in October.