Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.  

South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, Bolivarian Nations
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of central and eastern Canada. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in various regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, C and E Canada

Turkmenistan

Central Asia & Russia: Exceptional deficits will emerge in Mangystau

Central Asia & Russia: Exceptional deficits will emerge in Mangystau

The forecast through June indicates widespread water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Yenisei River Watershed and in the eastern Volga River region. Exceptional deficits will emerge from Mangystau, Kazakhstan into Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits forecast north of the Caspian Sea

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits forecast north of the Caspian Sea

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses in Northern European Russia will downgrade somewhat but surpluses will increase, reaching east to the Yenisei River Watershed. Intense deficits are expected in western Kazakhstan north of the Caspian Sea.

Central Asia & Russia: Intense water surpluses will persist in N European Russia

Central Asia & Russia: Intense water surpluses will persist in N European Russia

The forecast through March 2020 indicates widespread exceptional water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Western Siberian Plain. Exceptional deficits will persist on the Gulf of Ob and increase in the Nizhnyaya Tunguska River and the Upper Lena River regions. Surpluses are forecast for Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Kostanay in northern Kazakhstan.

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus will persist in the Northern European Plain

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus will persist in the Northern European Plain

Through January 2020 exceptional surpluses are forecast in the Northern European Plain in Russia, the Ob River region, and the Upper Reaches of the Volga Watershed. Intense deficits will persist north and southeast of Lake Baikal. Surpluses are forecast for northern Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, western Tajikistan, eastern Uzbekistan, and along Turkmenistan’s southern border.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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