The 12-month forecast indicates widespread deficits across much of Mexico and Central America, mostly of mild to moderate intensity. However, intense surpluses are expected to emerge in the Caribbean.

The forecast indicates that moderate to severe water deficits will cover most of Mexico and Central America, with some isolated pockets of surplus and transitional conditions.

The forecast through May 2023 anticipates exceptional deficits to emerge throughout western coastal regions of Mexico, with mild to moderate deficits occurring across the rest of the country, and intense transitional conditions in central California Baja Sur.

The forecast through April 2023 anticipates exceptional deficits to emerge throughout western coastal regions of Mexico. Surpluses of severe to extreme intensity will linger throughout Central America.

The 12-month forecast ending in September 2023 indicates intense surpluses will persist throughout much of Central America and the Caribbean.