Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern and southern regions of China, while isolated surplus anomalies will continue in western and northeastern areas of the country.
Exceptional deficits will continue in southeastern, northwestern, and western Russia, while northeastern and southeastern Russia will observe severe to extreme surpluses. Regions of Kazakhstan can expect moderate to extreme surpluses in northern and southeastern regions of the country.
Pockets of exceptional deficit will occur in southern regions of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman, as well as in isolated areas of Iran and Turkey. Small regions of southwestern Saudi Arabia and western Yemen will experience severe to extreme surplus.
Northwestern Mexico will continue to experience exceptional deficits, while central and southern areas of the country will observe severe to exceptional surpluses. Much of Central America can anticipate moderate to severe surplus.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2023 through January 2024 include the central and Southern Cone region of South America, much of Canada’s provinces, and various areas of Russia. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, and eastern South Asia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 5 May 2023.
Our May 2023 Global Precipitation and Temperature Outlook indicates that several regions of the world will experience significantly warmer temperatures than normal. Though the precipitation forecast has significantly more uncertainty (hashed areas) than we typically see, it generally anticipates mild anomalies overall.
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