The forecast through April indicates that widespread water surpluses in the region will shrink. However, surpluses are forecast in Syria, around Mosul, along Iran’s Caspian Sea Coast, and in southern Iran. Intense deficits are forecast from eastern Yemen into western Oman.
Middle East: Water deficits to retreat
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits in the region will retreat considerably, leaving pockets in western Turkey and its central Caspian Coast, Georgia and Azerbaijan, and southwestern Saudi Arabia. Intense surpluses will persist from central into northern Syria; around Mosul, Iraq; and along Iran’s Caspian Sea Coast and border with Turkmenistan.
Middle East: Water surplus will persist in Syria, Iraq, & Iran
Through January 2020 moderate to exceptional surpluses will persist from northern Iraq through a vast expanse of western Iran reaching past the Iran-Turkmen border. Exceptional surpluses will re-emerge in northern Syria and moderate surpluses in western Iraq. Deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably, persisting in Georgia and Riyadh Region, Saudi Arabia.
Middle East: Intense water surplus forecast for N Syria
Middle East: Intense water deficits to emerge in Saudi Arabia
The forecast through November indicates that widespread, intense water surpluses will persist in the region from southeastern Turkey and northern Syria through northern Iraq into northwestern Iran, and along the southeastern shore of the Caspian Sea and the Iran-Turkmen border. Exceptional deficits are forecast to emerge in a vast block of central Saudi Arabia.