Middle East
ISciences staff
Middle East: Exceptional deficits continue in ...

Exceptional deficits will persist in regions of the Levant, as well as other Middle Eastern countries, including Iran, Turkey, and Iraq. 

Middle East: Exceptional deficits continue in Levant, Iran, Turkey, Iraq
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Widespread deficits continue throughout ...

Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in several eastern European countries. Severe to exceptional surplus is anticipated in portions of southern and northern Europe and the Iberian Peninsula. 

Europe: Widespread deficits continue throughout E Europe
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Exceptional deficits in northwestern and eastern coastal Mexico will dissipate, but remain in portions of central and southern Mexico. Widespread transitional conditions will resolve in central to southern Mexico and Central America, though some surpluses will continue in Central America. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: central, S Mexico to observe continued exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Exceptional deficits to continue in ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in several provinces. Northern portions of Nunavut will observe surpluses of varying intensity. 

Canada: Exceptional deficits to continue in areas of Prairie Provinces, N Canada
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Exceptional deficits to continue ...

Exceptional deficits will diminish in portions of the Southwest, but persist in several states within the region. Exceptional deficits are also expected in pockets of Texas and the Midwest, as well as the Carolinas. Alaska will observe continued surpluses. 

United States: Exceptional deficits to continue in SW states

United States

United States: Intense water deficits in AZ, NM, CO, WY, CA

United States: Intense water deficits in AZ, NM, CO, WY, CA

Water deficits in the West will shrink overall through March 2021, but anomalies will remain widespread and will be intense in Arizona, New Mexico, central Colorado, western Wyoming, and pockets of Southern California. Deficits in North Dakota will intensify, becoming exceptional.

United States: Water deficits in the West & SW will shrink

United States: Water deficits in the West & SW will shrink

The forecast through January 2021 indicates that widespread, intense water deficits in the West, Southwest, and Northeast will shrink and downgrade considerably. Intense deficits are forecast for Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas, and Florida. Surpluses will emerge in the Northwest.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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