Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain.
Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2020 through January 2021 include: Chile, Brazil, French Guiana, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Belarus, and Ukraine. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and northern European Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 May 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2020 through December 2020 include: Chile, Brazil, French Guiana, Estonia, Latvia, Ukraine, and Thailand. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, European Russia, India, and northern Pakistan. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 6 April 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2019 through November 2020 include: Chile, Brazil, Ukraine, Cambodia, and Kazakhstan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, UK, European Russia, Syria, Iran, and Northern Pakistan. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 March 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period November 2019 through October 2020 include: Quebec (Canada), Chile, Brazil, Finland, Ukraine, Egypt, and Thailand. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: The Dakotas (US), Tanzania, Kenya, UK, Northern European Russia, and India. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 February 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from October 2019 through September 2020 include: Canada, Chile, Brazil, Finland, Ukraine, Egypt, and Australia. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: United States, Tanzania, Kenya, Ireland, United Kingdom, Russia, India, and Bangladesh. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 7 January 2020.
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