Exceptional deficits across Africa will downgrade in size, but remain in pockets of northwestern, central, and south-central regions of the continent. Surpluses are expected to continue along the Sahel.
Widespread exceptional deficits in South America will mostly dissipate, though some anomalies will remain in regions of Brazil and the Southern Cone.
Exceptional deficits in the Northern Territories, West Coast, and Prairie Provinces will downgrade in size, but remain in pockets of the regions. Surpluses of varying intensity are expected in several regions of Nunavut.
Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in several southwestern states, with moderate to severe surpluses enduring in pockets of the Southeast, Pacific Northwest, and Alaska.
The forecast for February 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2024 through October 2025 in northwestern and central Africa, southwestern U.S., eastern Europe, and central South America. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, northern Canada, and Central America.
The forecast indicates that widespread exceptional deficits in western Russia will mostly subside, though similarly intense deficits will emerge in southeastern Russia. Surpluses are expected to dissipate in east-central Russia in areas near Lake Baikal, with surpluses of equal intensity emerging in southwestern Russia and northern Uzbekistan.
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