East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW, S China

Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern and southern regions of China, while isolated surplus anomalies will continue in western and northeastern areas of the country. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW, S China
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in southeastern, northwestern, and western Russia, while northeastern and southeastern Russia will observe severe to extreme surpluses. Regions of Kazakhstan can expect moderate to extreme surpluses in northern and southeastern regions of the country. 

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in SE, NW, W Russia
Middle East
ISciences staff
Middle East: Deficits to continue in S Saudi ...

Pockets of exceptional deficit will occur in southern regions of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman, as well as in isolated areas of Iran and Turkey. Small regions of southwestern Saudi Arabia and western Yemen will experience severe to extreme surplus. 

Middle East: Deficits to continue in S Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Northwestern Mexico will continue to experience exceptional deficits, while central and southern areas of the country will observe severe to exceptional surpluses. Much of Central America can anticipate moderate to severe surplus.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surpluses emerge in C, S Mexico
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to persist in N Mainland SE Asia

Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib

Mexico & Central America: Water deficits may persist in Mexico, with greatest severity in the south

Water deficits may continue to emerge throughout much of Mexico with greatest severity and extent in southern Mexico. Surpluses may persist in the northwest along the conjoined borders of Sonora and Chihuahua, and in the eastern Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered deficits and some surpluses are forecast in Central America.

Mexico: Water deficits to persist in southern Mexico, parts of Central America

Water deficits may continue to emerge throughout much of Mexico with particular severity and extent in southern Mexico. Deficits are forecast to persist in parts of Central America. Surpluses may persist in northwest Mexico along the conjoined borders of Sonora and Chihuahua, down through Sinaloa. 

Mexico & Central America: Exceptional water deficits forecast for southern Mexico, Central America

Widespread exceptional water deficits are forecast for southern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, northwest Costa Rica, and western Panama. Surpluses may continue to emerge in Mexico’s northwestern state of Chihuahua. 

Mexico, Central America, Caribbean: Widespread water deficits to persist

Widespread exceptional water deficits are forecast to spread in southern Mexico, Central America, Jamaica, Haiti, Dominican Republic, and Puerto Rico. Nearly one million people are facing a food emergency in Guatemala, Puerto Rico has instituted water restrictions, and hunger-driven crime is on the rise in Guerrero, Mexico as drought withers crops.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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