Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in southeastern, northwestern, and western Russia, while northeastern and southeastern Russia will observe severe to extreme surpluses. Regions of Kazakhstan can expect moderate to extreme surpluses in northern and southeastern regions of the country. 

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in SE, NW, W Russia
Middle East
ISciences staff
Middle East: Deficits to continue in S Saudi ...

Pockets of exceptional deficit will occur in southern regions of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman, as well as in isolated areas of Iran and Turkey. Small regions of southwestern Saudi Arabia and western Yemen will experience severe to extreme surplus. 

Middle East: Deficits to continue in S Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Northwestern Mexico will continue to experience exceptional deficits, while central and southern areas of the country will observe severe to exceptional surpluses. Much of Central America can anticipate moderate to severe surplus.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surpluses emerge in C, S Mexico
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to persist in N Mainland SE Asia
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits continue across S and E Europe

Severe to exceptional surpluses will mostly resolve in Western Europe, but emerge in northern countries. Severe to exceptional deficits will persist in Southern and Eastern Europe. 

Europe: Deficits continue across S and E Europe

Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Moderate water deficits to continue in much of Mexico, emerge in Guatemala

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Moderate water deficits to continue in much of Mexico, emerge in Guatemala

Overall much of Mexico will experience drier than normal conditions. However, exceptional deficits in Baja and across the Gulf of California observed for the past three months are forecast to diminish in the months ahead. From August through October deficits will increase in severity in the state of Veracruz in a wide inland arc from the Gulf of Mexico. Deficits are also forecast during this period for eastern Jamaica and in Haiti. Moderate deficits are forecast to emerge in Guatemala and El Salvador.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits to persist on Baja, continue to emerge in Southern Mexico, Guatemala

Water deficits are forecast to persist on the Baja Peninsula and will continue to emerge in southern Mexico. Moderate surpluses are forecast in Sonora. In Central America deficits are forecast in Guatemala, El Salvador, southern Honduras, western Nicaragua, and eastern Panama. In the Caribbean dry conditions are forecast for Haiti; surpluses in central Cuba will persist through the spring months.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits to persist in southern Mexico, emerge later in Central America

Water deficits are forecast to persist on the Baja Peninsula and will continue to emerge in southern Mexico with exceptional severity. Surpluses are forecast along the Rio Grande River and in a wide path from Sonora southward following the Sierra Madre Occidental Mountain range. Surpluses in central Cuba are forecast to persist through the spring months. Overall for the year moderate deficits are expected in Guatemala and Honduras, though more severe deficits are forecast throughout Central America in the latter months of the forecast period.

Mexico, Central America & the Caribbean: Water deficits to persist in southern Mexico, and emerge later in Central America and Jamaica

Water deficits are forecast to emerge on the Baja Peninsula and will continue to emerge in southern Mexico with exceptional severity. Surpluses will re-emerge in Sonora and persist in the eastern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and central Cuba. Abnormal to severe deficits will emerge in much of Central America by July and in Jamaica by August.

Mexico and Central America: Water Deficits Continue in Southern Mexico and Guatemala, Surpluses Persist in the Yucatan

Water deficits are forecast to continue emerging in Mexico with greatest severity in the south. Surpluses are forecast to persist in the Yucatan Peninsula and re-emerge in Sonora. Moderate deficits are forecast to persist in southern Guatemala; some scattered surpluses are forecast elsewhere in Central America.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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