Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern Mexico. Severe to exceptional surpluses will persist in much of Central America. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Exceptional surplus continues throughout central America
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits remain in the Amazon, ...

Widespread deficits in South America will diminish in some countries, but will remain present in several regions of the Amazon, as well as some portions of the Andes.  

South America: Deficits remain in the Amazon, Andes
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits persist throughout NW ...

Exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in the Yangtze River Basin. Central and northeastern China will observe moderate to severe surpluses.  

East Asia: Deficits persist throughout NW China, Yangtze River Basin
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits

Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.  

Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in regions of Central Canada, the Prairie Provinces, and some of the Northern Territories.  

Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, central Canada

Middle East

Middle East: Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey through September, Surpluses along the Iraq-Iran border and northeast Turkey

Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey through September. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey.

Middle East: Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast through Aug 2016, particularly March through May

Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East through August 2016. Widespread exceptional deficits on the Arabian Peninsula are forecast to diminish in severity December through February, but re-emerge March through May. Deficits in Turkey are forecast to spread to most of the country from December on, though surpluses are forecast to persist in the northeast. 

Middle East: Widespread water deficits predicted across the Arabian Peninsula and Iran

The forecast indicates a predominance of moderate to exceptional water deficits across much of the Middle East through July 2016. Though exceptional deficits on the Arabian Peninsula, in southern Iraq, and in southern Iran are expected to diminish in severity over the next several months, they may regain strength and spread throughout much of the Middle East thereafter. In Turkey, deficits in the west may persist, while surpluses in the east  may eventually transition to deficits.

Middle East: Extreme to exceptional water deficits may dominate the region

Extreme to exceptional water deficits may dominate the region, including the Arabian Peninsula, Jordan, southern Iraq, and central Iran. Pockets of Turkey, Syria, and northern Iran are forecast to experience water surpluses September through November. Surplus conditions in Turkey are expected to transition to deficit beginning in February and increasing in extent and severity through May.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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