Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to persist in N Mainland SE Asia
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits continue across S and E Europe

Severe to exceptional surpluses will mostly resolve in Western Europe, but emerge in northern countries. Severe to exceptional deficits will persist in Southern and Eastern Europe. 

Europe: Deficits continue across S and E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus to persist ...

Widespread extreme to exceptional surpluses will dissipate in northern regions of Australia, as will exceptional deficits in several regions of the continent. Severe to extreme surpluses will persist in isolated regions of Western Australia and Northern Territory. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus to persist in Western Australia, Northern Territory
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Canadian Shield, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain widespread in several areas of the Canadian Shield and Atlantic regions. Exceptional surplus is anticipated in much of the Arctic Region. 

Canada: Deficits remain in Canadian Shield, Atlantic regions
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Deficits to occur in SW, N, NE ...

Widespread deficits of varying intensity will occur in the southwest, northern, and northeastern states. Severe to extreme surpluses will remain in Florida, as well as in most noncontiguous states.  

United States: Deficits to occur in SW, N, NE states

Middle East

Middle East: Water deficits forecast to persist in southern Turkey, emerge in UAE

The water forecast includes a variety of conditions in the Mideast, though water deficits remain the dominate factor. Deficits are forecast across southern Turkey, Cyprus, much of Iraq, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and western Oman. Deficits of varying severity are forecast across Saudi Arabia and in Yemen as well, but both deficits and surpluses are predicted in some areas. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and in a few pockets on Oman’s coast.

Middle East: Exceptional water deficits forecast for Yemen, western Oman, and later in UAE

Exceptional water deficits are forecast for southern Turkey and the Arabian Peninsula, with severe to exceptional deficits forecast to encompass Yemen and western Oman. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey. Later in the forecast moderate water deficits in the United Arab Emirates may become exceptional.

Middle East: Widespread water deficits forecast, including exceptional deficits in Yemen and western Oman

Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey through October 2016. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey. Exceptional water deficits are forecast on the Arabian Peninsula in April, encompassing all of Yemen and western Oman.

Middle East: Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey through September, Surpluses along the Iraq-Iran border and northeast Turkey

Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey through September. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey.

Middle East: Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast through Aug 2016, particularly March through May

Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East through August 2016. Widespread exceptional deficits on the Arabian Peninsula are forecast to diminish in severity December through February, but re-emerge March through May. Deficits in Turkey are forecast to spread to most of the country from December on, though surpluses are forecast to persist in the northeast. 

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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