Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.  

South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, Bolivarian Nations
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of central and eastern Canada. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in various regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, C and E Canada

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Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Persistent water surplus in Indonesia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Persistent water surplus in Indonesia

The forecast through November indicates that water surpluses will shrink and downgrade in Southeast Asia and the Philippines but will be widespread in many parts of Indonesia and New Guinea. Anomalies will be extreme to exceptional in the Lesser Sunda Islands.

East Asia: Water surplus to persist between Yellow & Yangtze

East Asia: Water surplus to persist between Yellow & Yangtze

The forecast through November indicates that water surpluses will remain widespread in Northeast China and the Yellow and Yangtze Basins, downgrading in the rivers’ upper regions. Deficits are forecast in South and Southeast China. Japan can expect surpluses in the south, deficits in Hokkaido.

United States: Water surpluses in Gulf & N Atlantic

United States: Water surpluses in Gulf & N Atlantic

The forecast through November indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably in the West, Northern Plains, and Northeast but persist in Peninsular Florida. Surpluses are forecast in central Gulf States and northern neighbors and will increase from Wisconsin to the Atlantic.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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