Exceptional deficits throughout Africa will persist in northwestern, northern, and central countries. Surpluses will remain along the Sahel.
Exceptional deficits will remain throughout the Amazon and the Boliviarian Nations. Similar deficits will occur in northeastern coastal regions of Brazil, in Argentina, and in Chile.
The forecast for November 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2024 through July 2025 in northern South America, Canada, northwestern and eastern China, and northern to central Africa. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.
With the release of WSIM v3 and 8 years of additional data, we reevaluate drought risk in the Amazon and the historic drought that continue to affect the region.
The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses in northern Australia will diminish, though will still remain present in some regions of Northern Territory. Exceptional deficits across the continent will similarly dissipate, though severe deficits are expected along the southern coast of Victoria.
The forecast for August 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of May 2023 through April 2024 in northern and southern Africa, European Russia, and most of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the western United States, north-central Australia, and southeastern Africa.
The forecast for July 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of April 2023 through March 2024 in northern and southern Africa, Central Asia, and much of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, northern Australia, and various areas of Russia.
The forecast for June 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of March 2023 through February 2024 in much of South America, central and southern Africa, and much of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, western South Asia, and various areas of Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 June 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2023 through January 2024 include the central and Southern Cone region of South America, much of Canada’s provinces, and various areas of Russia. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, and eastern South Asia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 5 May 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2023 through December 2023 include the central and Southern Cone region of South America, much of Canada’s provinces, Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern United States, eastern South Asia, and central Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 April 2023.
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