The forecast through May indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade though exceptional deficits will persist in the north. Surpluses are forecast across the Sahel, exceptional in southern Chad. Surpluses will shrink in East Africa but remain widespread from Botswana into Namibia.
Africa: Widespread water surplus will persist in Botswana
Africa: Water surplus to persist in Sahel & E Africa
The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade. Deficits in North Africa will be mild to moderate overall. Surpluses will continue in the eastern Sahel, but transitions will begin in the west. Surpluses will persist in East Africa and emerge in south-central Africa.