Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern Mexico. Severe to exceptional surpluses will persist in much of Central America. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Exceptional surplus continues throughout central America
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits remain in the Amazon, ...

Widespread deficits in South America will diminish in some countries, but will remain present in several regions of the Amazon, as well as some portions of the Andes.  

South America: Deficits remain in the Amazon, Andes
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits persist throughout NW ...

Exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in the Yangtze River Basin. Central and northeastern China will observe moderate to severe surpluses.  

East Asia: Deficits persist throughout NW China, Yangtze River Basin
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits

Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.  

Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in regions of Central Canada, the Prairie Provinces, and some of the Northern Territories.  

Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, central Canada

Central Asia & Russia

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits in W Kazakhstan

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits in W Kazakhstan

The forecast through August indicates that water surpluses from northern European Russia through the Western Siberian Plain will shrink. Deficits are forecast for the Taz, Lower Yenisei, and Tunguska River regions in Russia and in western Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan.

Central Asia & Russia: Intense water surplus in N Kazakhstan

Central Asia & Russia: Intense water surplus in N Kazakhstan

The forecast through July indicates that water surpluses in the Northern European Plain of Russia will shrink and downgrade. Intense surpluses are forecast for northern Kazakhstan and the Turkmen-Iran border. Moderate deficits are expected in the northern Caspian Basin.

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits forecast north of the Caspian Sea

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits forecast north of the Caspian Sea

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses in Northern European Russia will downgrade somewhat but surpluses will increase, reaching east to the Yenisei River Watershed. Intense deficits are expected in western Kazakhstan north of the Caspian Sea.

Central Asia & Russia: Widespread water surplus in N European Russia

Central Asia & Russia: Widespread water surplus in N European Russia

The forecast through May indicates widespread moderate-to-exceptional water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Western Siberian Plain. Exceptional deficits are forecast for the Central Siberian Plateau, north and southeast of Lake Baikal, and in western Kazakhstan along the Caspian coast.

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus will increase in Ob River Basin

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus will increase in Ob River Basin

The forecast through April indicates widespread intense water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Western Siberian Plain. Exceptional deficits are forecast for the Central Siberian Plateau, north and southeast of Lake Baikal, and in western Kazakhstan.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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