Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits

Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.  

Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in regions of Central Canada, the Prairie Provinces, and some of the Northern Territories.  

Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, central Canada
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Deficits expand throughout SW, ...

Severe to exceptional deficits will expand throughout southwestern, central, and northeastern states. Surpluses will persist in Alaska and in portions of Florida.

United States: Deficits expand throughout SW, NE, central States
*Water Watch Lists
ISciences staff
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List January ...

The forecast for January 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2024 through September 2025 in northern Africa, southwestern U.S., northern South America, and western South Asia. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List January 2025
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Pockets of ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Pockets of surpluses persist throughout SE Asia

Central Asia & Russia

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus forecast in the Ob Basin, deficits in the Lena

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus forecast in the Ob Basin, deficits in the Lena

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread water surpluses in the Ob River Watershed and widespread deficits in the Lena River Watershed. Surpluses in northern Kazakhstan will remain exceptional and surpluses on the Amu Darya River will become exceptional.

Central Asia & Russia: Intense water surplus on Amu Darya & Middle Yenisei

Central Asia & Russia: Intense water surplus on Amu Darya & Middle Yenisei

The forecast through December indicates water surpluses in northern European Russia, the Ob River Watershed, and the Middle Yenisei River. Areas of intense deficit include the Lower Yenisei region and the Lena River Watershed. Exceptional surpluses will emerge on the Amu Darya River.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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