Water deficits may persist in much of Europe through October, with the exception of Ireland, the United Kingdom, and northern Sweden. The forecast, however, indicates a transition to surpluses in many areas of Western and Central Europe from November 2015 through May 2016. In contrast, water deficits are expected during this time-frame in Mediterranean Spain, Italy, and the Balkan Peninsula.
Europe: Widespread drought persists, but transition to surplus is forecast
Europe: Deficits Forecast to Dominate Throughout Summer and Fall
In Europe, as we look back at the last three months and forward for the next nine we can see that deficits have and will dominate this period overall. Deficits observed in the spring may spread this summer over much of Europe with exceptional deficits evident along rivers. These deficits are expected to persist though diminish in severity throughout the fall, after which conditions may change to surpluses from December through February with the exception of Italy and eastern Spain.
Spain & Portugal: Extended deficit impacts through 2015.
WSIM forecasts an extended drought for much of Portugal and western/southern portions of Spain. The map is based on three months of observed data (January 2015 - March 2015) and nine months of forecast data (April 15 - December 15). Portugal and western Spain are forecast to experience drier conditions than normal, especially along their shared border.