Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near Lake Baikal
Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel

Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain. 

Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia

Europe

Europe: Water surplus will increase in Central Europe

Europe: Water surplus will increase in Central Europe

The forecast through December indicates that water deficits will shrink considerably, persisting primarily in the Baltics, Belarus, and Sweden. Surpluses will increase in Austria and Czech Republic, reaching well into surrounding nations, and will persist in Ireland, U.K, and European Russia.

Europe: Water deficits to persist in many regions

Europe: Water deficits to persist in many regions

The forecast through October indicates a pattern of water anomalies similar to May through July though the intensity will downgrade in some regions. Areas of deficit include Finland, the Baltics through Ukraine, and France through Germany. Areas of surplus include Russia, Spain, and the U.K.

Europe: Water deficits in C. Europe & around the Baltic

Europe: Water deficits in C. Europe & around the Baltic

The forecast through September indicates a distribution pattern of water anomalies similar to the prior three months. Widespread deficits are expected in Central Europe and around the Baltic and Adriatic Seas. Areas of surplus include the Iberian Peninsula, the eastern Balkans, and Russia.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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