Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits linger in eastern Europe

Exceptional surpluses in western Europe will dissipate. Deficits are expected to remain in several regions of eastern Europe. 

Europe: Deficits linger in eastern Europe
Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surpluses continue along the Sahel

Exceptional deficits across Africa will downgrade in size, but remain in pockets of northwestern, central, and south-central regions of the continent. Surpluses are expected to continue along the Sahel. 

Africa: Surpluses continue along the Sahel
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Amazon, Southern Cone to observe ...

Widespread exceptional deficits in South America will mostly dissipate, though some anomalies will remain in regions of Brazil and the Southern Cone. 

South America: Amazon, Southern Cone to observe continued deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Pockets of deficits continue in West ...

Exceptional deficits in the Northern Territories, West Coast, and Prairie Provinces will downgrade in size, but remain in pockets of the regions. Surpluses of varying intensity are expected in several regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Pockets of deficits continue in West Coast, Prairie Provinces
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Deficits persist in SW states

Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in several southwestern states, with moderate to severe surpluses enduring in pockets of the Southeast, Pacific Northwest, and Alaska. 

United States: Deficits persist in SW states

South Asia

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in Bangladesh & SW India

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in Bangladesh & SW India

The forecast through January 2021 indicates intense water surpluses in much of western India and the Deccan Plateau, Bangladesh, eastern Nepal into western Bhutan, and in the upper Harirud and Helmand River Watersheds of Afghanistan. Deficits will emerge in northwestern India.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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