Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.  

South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, Bolivarian Nations
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of central and eastern Canada. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in various regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, C and E Canada

Laos

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense surplus forecast in Java & C Vietnam

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense surplus forecast in Java & C Vietnam

The forecast through August indicates that, while water surpluses will shrink and downgrade, many areas will persist, including exceptional surpluses in central Vietnam and Java. Areas of deficit include Medan, Sumatra, and New Guinea’s north coast.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread, intense water surpluses in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and eastern Thailand. Surpluses of lesser intensity are expected in the Philippines and eastern Indonesia. Deficits are forecast for pockets in northern Thailand.

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook September 2020

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook September 2020

The September Outlook indicates warmer than normal temperatures across much of the vast expanse of Russia. Exceptionally hotter conditions are forecast from Southeast Asia into China and from the Levant north into Ukraine and southern Russia. Uganda will be much wetter than normal and Chile will be much drier than normal south of Santiago.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Thailand & Cambodia to transition out of water deficit

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Thailand & Cambodia to transition out of water deficit

The forecast through August 2019 indicates that intense water deficits in Thailand and Cambodia will disappear leaving mild deficits or nearly normal conditions. Surpluses will shrink considerably in Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam, and Indonesia, transitioning to deficits in Borneo, Sumatra, and Java. Deficits will downgrade in Papua New Guinea but will be severe.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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