Exceptional deficits throughout Africa will persist in northwestern, northern, and central countries. Surpluses will remain along the Sahel.
Exceptional deficits will remain throughout the Amazon and the Boliviarian Nations. Similar deficits will occur in northeastern coastal regions of Brazil, in Argentina, and in Chile.
The forecast for November 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2024 through July 2025 in northern South America, Canada, northwestern and eastern China, and northern to central Africa. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.
With the release of WSIM v3 and 8 years of additional data, we reevaluate drought risk in the Amazon and the historic drought that continue to affect the region.
The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses in northern Australia will diminish, though will still remain present in some regions of Northern Territory. Exceptional deficits across the continent will similarly dissipate, though severe deficits are expected along the southern coast of Victoria.
The forecast for November 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2024 through July 2025 in northern South America, Canada, northwestern and eastern China, and northern to central Africa. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.
The forecast for October 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2024 through June 2025 in western South America, northern and central Africa, Mexico, and eastern China. Areas expected to experience surplus include the Sahel, South Asia, and noncontiguous areas of United States.
The forecast for September 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of June 2024 through May 2025 in western South America, northern Africa, the Middle East, and eastern Europe. Areas expected to experience surplus include southwestern Russia, central Africa, South Asia, and Mexico.
The forecast for August 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of May 2024 through April 2025 in northern and central Africa, western and central South America, Canada, and northwestern China. Areas expected to experience surplus include western Russia, northern Australia, and southern India.
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