Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain.
Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2020 through November 2021 include: Brazil, Estonia, Latvia, and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Northeast China, Botswana, and the Philippines. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 March 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2020 through October 2021 include: Brazil, Estonia, Latvia, Egypt, and western Kazakhstan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Northeast China, Vietnam, southern India, and Pakistan. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 February 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2020 through September 2021 include: Brazil, Estonia, Egypt, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Vietnam, southwestern India, and European Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 January 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of September 2020 through August 2021 include: Venezuela, Brazil, Estonia, Latvia, Egypt, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Bangladesh, Vietnam, and southwestern India. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 7 December 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2020 through July 2021 include: Venezuela, Estonia, Latvia, Jordan, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and southwestern India. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 November 2020.
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