Exceptional deficits throughout Africa will persist in northwestern, northern, and central countries. Surpluses will remain along the Sahel.
Exceptional deficits will remain throughout the Amazon and the Boliviarian Nations. Similar deficits will occur in northeastern coastal regions of Brazil, in Argentina, and in Chile.
The forecast for November 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of August 2024 through July 2025 in northern South America, Canada, northwestern and eastern China, and northern to central Africa. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.
With the release of WSIM v3 and 8 years of additional data, we reevaluate drought risk in the Amazon and the historic drought that continue to affect the region.
The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses in northern Australia will diminish, though will still remain present in some regions of Northern Territory. Exceptional deficits across the continent will similarly dissipate, though severe deficits are expected along the southern coast of Victoria.
The forecast for April 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2024 through December 2024 in South America, northeastern Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for March 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2023 through November 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, Canada, and southern regions of the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to southeastern Africa, Europe, northern Australia, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for February 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2023 through October 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, southern regions of the Middle East, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern Africa, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
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