Exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern Mexico. Severe to exceptional surpluses will persist in much of Central America.
Widespread deficits in South America will diminish in some countries, but will remain present in several regions of the Amazon, as well as some portions of the Andes.
Exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in the Yangtze River Basin. Central and northeastern China will observe moderate to severe surpluses.
Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.
Water deficits are forecast to persist in many parts of the Middle East through February – particularly the Arabian Peninsula – though the extent of exceptional deficits will diminish. Cyprus is forecast to transition out of exceptional deficit after May, while deficits in Qatar and United Arab Emirates may become more severe for the next six months. Pockets of severe to exceptional deficits across southern Turkey are expected to linger through November before diminishing in severity.
Water deficits are forecast in southern Turkey, Cyprus, Gaza, West Bank, Israel, Qatar, and United Arab Emirates. Surpluses are expected to persist along the Iraq-Iran border and in a few pockets on Oman’s coast. Both deficits and surpluses are forecast in Jordan, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Yemen. Exceptional deficits will emerge in May in Qatar and United Arab Emirates, persisting with varying extent and severity through October.
The water forecast includes a variety of conditions in the Mideast, though water deficits remain the dominate factor. Deficits are forecast across southern Turkey, Cyprus, much of Iraq, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and western Oman. Deficits of varying severity are forecast across Saudi Arabia and in Yemen as well, but both deficits and surpluses are predicted in some areas. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and in a few pockets on Oman’s coast.
Exceptional water deficits are forecast for southern Turkey and the Arabian Peninsula, with severe to exceptional deficits forecast to encompass Yemen and western Oman. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey. Later in the forecast moderate water deficits in the United Arab Emirates may become exceptional.
Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey through October 2016. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey. Exceptional water deficits are forecast on the Arabian Peninsula in April, encompassing all of Yemen and western Oman.
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