Middle East
ISciences staff
Middle East: Exceptional deficits continue in ...

Exceptional deficits will persist in regions of the Levant, as well as other Middle Eastern countries, including Iran, Turkey, and Iraq. 

Middle East: Exceptional deficits continue in Levant, Iran, Turkey, Iraq
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Widespread deficits continue throughout ...

Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in several eastern European countries. Severe to exceptional surplus is anticipated in portions of southern and northern Europe and the Iberian Peninsula. 

Europe: Widespread deficits continue throughout E Europe
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Exceptional deficits in northwestern and eastern coastal Mexico will dissipate, but remain in portions of central and southern Mexico. Widespread transitional conditions will resolve in central to southern Mexico and Central America, though some surpluses will continue in Central America. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: central, S Mexico to observe continued exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Exceptional deficits to continue in ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in several provinces. Northern portions of Nunavut will observe surpluses of varying intensity. 

Canada: Exceptional deficits to continue in areas of Prairie Provinces, N Canada
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Exceptional deficits to continue ...

Exceptional deficits will diminish in portions of the Southwest, but persist in several states within the region. Exceptional deficits are also expected in pockets of Texas and the Midwest, as well as the Carolinas. Alaska will observe continued surpluses. 

United States: Exceptional deficits to continue in SW states

United States

United States: Widespread, intense water surpluses ahead from WI to TX

United States: Widespread, intense water surpluses ahead from WI to TX

The forecast through January calls attention to significant water surpluses that will cut a wide north/south path from Michigan’s Upper Peninsula down through Texas, and will emerge in the Ohio River Valley leading into widespread surpluses in the east from Maine to South Carolina. Surpluses are expected to be exceptional in Texas, Wisconsin, and Iowa, among other areas. Moderate to extreme deficits are forecast for Florida. Deficits are also forecast for central Colorado, the Rio Grande through New Mexico, and northwestern California into Oregon.

United States: Intense water surpluses ahead for Iowa & Wisconsin

United States: Intense water surpluses ahead for Iowa & Wisconsin

The forecast through December indicates many areas of water surplus including Iowa and surrounding states, the Ohio River Basin, eastern Pennsylvania, and Texas. Surpluses will be intense in Iowa and Pennsylvania. Deficits are expected in the Southeast, primarily moderate but more intense in Florida surrounding Lake Okeechobee. Intense deficits are also forecast along the Arkansas River, and in Colorado, and north-central Utah. Other areas of deficits include the Canadian River, the Rio Grande through New Mexico, and Maine.

United States: Water surpluses forecast for MT, NE, IA, WI, & PA

United States: Water surpluses forecast for MT, NE, IA, WI, & PA

The forecast through November indicates that water deficits will downgrade considerably overall leaving mild to moderate deficits, but deficits will be intense along the Arkansas River through Kansas and Colorado, western Colorado, northeastern Utah, along the Canadian River through Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle, and in the US Northeast. Areas of surplus include: Montana, the Black Hills of South Dakota, northern Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, and eastern Pennsylvania.

United States: Water surpluses forecast for PA, MD, NE, FL; deficits CO, CA, OR

United States: Water surpluses forecast for PA, MD, NE, FL; deficits CO, CA, OR

For the next several months, water deficits will diminish overall but intense deficits are forecast for southern California, the Willamette Valley in Oregon, along the Arkansas River, and western Colorado. Areas of moderate deficit include northern Minnesota and from Missouri to the Gulf. Surpluses are forecast for northern Nebraska, the Black Hills of South Dakota, southern Montana, the Pecos River in New Mexico into Texas, eastern Pennsylvania, Maryland, northern Virginia, coastal North Carolina, and much of Florida from Jacksonville past Lake Kissimmee.

United States: Intense water deficits to persist in OR, MO, AR, LA; surpluses in FL

United States: Intense water deficits to persist in OR, MO, AR, LA; surpluses in FL

The forecast through September indicates that, while exceptional water deficits will diminish overall and in the Southwest and Southern Rockies in particular, moderate to severe deficits are expected in a wide path from Missouri to the Gulf. Deficits may be intense in Louisiana, along the Arkansas and Canadian Rivers, and the Pacific Northwest coast. In the Northeast, deficits will persist and spread further in Maine. Significant surpluses will persist in the Northern Rockies, and surpluses will emerge in much of Florida.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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