Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern China, while regions of the Yangtze River Basin will observe an expansion of exceptional deficits across the region.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses in India will resolve, leaving moderate surpluses in central and eastern portions of the country. Deficits are expected to spread in portions of Afghanistan, Pakistan, and northern India.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will diminish, though some regions will observe continuing severe to extreme surpluses. Isolated regions in Mainland Southeast Asia will observe exceptional deficits.
Widespread surpluses in southwestern Russia will mostly diminish. Exceptional deficits are expected in portions of the Urals, European Russia, northern coastal Russia, and in regions east of Lake Baikal.
The forecast through May 2023 predicts widespread exceptional surpluses in much of Russia’s Yenisei River Watershed, Central Siberian Plateau, and pockets throughout the Russian Far East. Severe to exceptional surpluses will persist from central Tyumen Oblast further east into territories near the city of Omsk.
The forecast through May 2023 indicates intense transitional conditions in Saudi Arabia to mostly subside. Mild transitional areas in its south-central region will continue, spreading into Yemen. Intense surpluses are expected to persist in central Syria and southwestern Iran, as are exceptional deficits in western Turkey.
The forecast through May 2023 indicates that surpluses in southeastern Australia will persist, though much of the anomalies in New South Wales will change to intense transitional conditions. Surpluses in northern New Zealand are expected to remain, as are intense deficits in southwestern New Zealand.
The forecast through May 2023 predicts that a few areas of exceptional anomalies in northern Africa are expected to subside into mild to moderate deficits, though continuing in Egypt and Libya. Exceptional deficits in the Horn of Africa are expected to become exceptional surpluses. Much of the southern Sahel can expect intense surpluses to persist.
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