Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.
Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2021 through June 2022 include: the U.S. West, Canada, Venezuela, Chile, North Africa, Central Asia, and Hokkaido, Japan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Nepal, and Bangladesh. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 October 2021.
The forecast through January 2021 indicates that widespread, intense water surpluses will persist in Northeast China and the Yellow and Yangtze Basins, shrinking south of the Yangtze. Deficits will increase in northwestern and coastal southeastern China. Deficits are forecast in Japan and surpluses in North Korea.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2020 through June 2021 include: Venezuela, French Guiana, Estonia, Latvia, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and the Sahel (Africa). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 October 2020.
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