Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.
Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2021 through June 2022 include: the U.S. West, Canada, Venezuela, Chile, North Africa, Central Asia, and Hokkaido, Japan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Nepal, and Bangladesh. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 October 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of June 2021 through May 2022 include: the U.S. West, Canada, North Africa, Central Asia, and Hokkaido, Japan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Northeast China, the Yellow River, Yangtze River, Nepal, Bangladesh, and the Yenisei River. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 7 September 2021.
Through January 2020 deficits are forecast for Mongolia, North Korea, and the following regions of China: eastern Xinjiang, southern Yunnan, Taiwan, Fujian, the Shandong Peninsula, southern Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu. Anomalies will be exceptional in Xinjiang, Mongolia, Yunnan, and Taiwan. Surpluses are forecast in Northeast China and a wide path from Tibet through the Yellow River Basin.
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