The forecast through August indicates water deficits in Baja and Chihuahua, Mexico, and along the southern Gulf Coast as surpluses there retreat. Surpluses will persist in southern Central America but retreat from northern nations as deficits emerge.

The forecast through July indicates moderate to severe water deficits in north-central Mexico and in a wide arc through the Gulf Coast states and land-locked neighbors. Surpluses will shrink and downgrade in Central America but remain widespread.

The forecast through June indicates that water deficits will increase in northern Mexico but retreat across the nation’s middle. Deficits will be intense in Sonora. Surpluses are forecast in Central America, Jamaica, and the Bahamas.

The forecast through May indicates that water deficits will increase in Mexico with exceptional deficits in Baja, Sonora, Chihuahua, and from Sinaloa through Nayarit. Surpluses will moderate in southern Mexico but remain widespread in Central America.

The forecast through April 2021 indicates persistent water deficits in much of Mexico, downgrading in the east, but intensifying in north-central and central Pacific states. Surpluses will downgrade in southern Mexico but remain intense in Central America.