South Asia

South Asia: Water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread

South Asia: Water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread

The forecast through September indicates that water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread. Surpluses will persist in western and central India, increase in Gujarat, remain intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and downgrade in Bangladesh. Deficits in southern India and southern Pakistan will nearly disappear.

South Asia: Water surpluses to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan

South Asia: Water surpluses to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan

The forecast through August indicates that water surpluses will shrink in India, leaving a broad path from Gujarat into the Gangetic Plain. Surpluses will moderate in Bangladesh, but remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Conditions in Tamil Nadu will normalize from prior deficit.

South Asia: Intense water surplus to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan

South Asia: Intense water surplus to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan

The forecast through July indicates that water surpluses will shrink considerably overall but remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Areas of surplus in India include the Far North, central Rajasthan, and Karnataka. Deficits will intensify in India’s Far Northeast and emerge in coastal Maharashtra.

South Asia: Intense water surplus to persist in Pakistan

South Asia: Intense water surplus to persist in Pakistan

The forecast through June indicates that widespread water surpluses in India will shrink leaving nearly normal conditions in the east. Surpluses will persist, however, in many regions including central India, the Far North, and the Gangetic Plain; and, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Deficits will emerge in India’s Far Northeast.

South Asia: Widespread water surplus will persist

South Asia: Widespread water surplus will persist

Widespread water surpluses are forecast to persist through May in India, Bangladesh, Nepal, northern Pakistan and along rivers, and eastern Afghanistan. Anomalies will be exceptional in several regions including along the Ganges, from Mumbai into Karnataka, and central Madhya Pradesh.