Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses ...

The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses in northern Australia will diminish, though will still remain present in some regions of Northern Territory. Exceptional deficits across the continent will similarly dissipate, though severe deficits are expected along the southern coast of Victoria. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses continues in north-central Australia
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern China, southwestern Mongolia, and in the Yangtze River Basin. Surpluses of severe to exceptional intensity are expected to appear in western, southern, and northeastern regions of China. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, Yangtze River Basin
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Surpluses expand throughout India ...

The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses will persist throughout India and Nepal. Exceptional deficits will expand throughout regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan. 

South Asia: Surpluses expand throughout India and Nepal
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Exceptional deficits to emerge ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will occur in southwestern states, as well as in some areas of the Midwest. Severe to exceptional surpluses will linger in southern regions of Florida and in much of the noncontiguous U.S. 

United States: Exceptional deficits to emerge in SW states
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses ...

The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional deficits will resolve throughout much of Southeast Asia. Exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in some countries within Mainland Southeast Asia. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses emerge in Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam

Tonle Sap

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to persist in Thailand

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to persist in Thailand

The forecast through April indicates persistent water deficits in Thailand and western Cambodia though the extent of exceptional deficits will shrink to small pockets. Intense surpluses will persist in western Myanmar, Vietnam’s North Central Coast, and northern Mindanao.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense water deficits forecast for Cambodia & Java

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense water deficits forecast for Cambodia & Java

Through January 2020 surpluses will persist in Laos, Vietnam, eastern Cambodia, and Myanmar. Intense deficits will persist in northwestern Cambodia and deficits of lesser intensity are forecast for much of Thailand. Deficits are also forecast for southern Sumatra, Java, southern Borneo, and Papua New Guinea. Anomalies will be especially widespread and intense in Java.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List November 2019

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List November 2019

Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from August 2019 through July 2020 include: Canada, Chile, Finland, Ukraine, Egypt, and United Arab Emirates. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: United States, Uruguay, Tanzania, Ireland, United Kingdom, India, and Bangladesh. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 6 November 2019

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Extreme water deficits forecast Sumatra & Java

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Extreme water deficits forecast Sumatra & Java

The forecast through December indicates water surplus in Myanmar, Laos, eastern Cambodia, and Vietnam. Deficits are expected around Tonlé Sap, Cambodia, and in Malaysia, Sumatra, Java, Indonesian Borneo, northern New Guinea, and the eastern Philippines. Deficits will be extreme in Sumatra and Java.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

For more information contact info@isciences.com.

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