East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern China, while regions of the Yangtze River Basin will observe an expansion of exceptional deficits across the region. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, Yangtze River Basin
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Deficits spread in Afghanistan, ...

Extreme to exceptional surpluses in India will resolve, leaving moderate surpluses in central and eastern portions of the country. Deficits are expected to spread in portions of Afghanistan, Pakistan, and northern India. 

South Asia: Deficits spread in Afghanistan, Pakistan, N India
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits ...

Extreme to exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will diminish, though some regions will observe continuing severe to extreme surpluses. Isolated regions in Mainland Southeast Asia will observe exceptional deficits. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits persist in Laos, Vietnam
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in ...

Widespread surpluses in southwestern Russia will mostly diminish. Exceptional deficits are expected in portions of the Urals, European Russia, northern coastal Russia, and in regions east of Lake Baikal. 

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in European Russia, Urals, Buryatia
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Severe, ...

Severe to exceptional deficits along the southern coast of Australia will dissipate, though some will continue in Victoria and New Zealand. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in Queensland. 

Australia & New Zealand: Severe, exceptional surpluses continue in Queensland

Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C America

The forecast through January 2021 indicates water deficits in much of Mexico with intense anomalies in central Baja, southern Chihuahua, and from Nuevo León into Puebla. Areas of surplus include the Yucatán, Central America, Jamaica, and the Bahamas.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

The forecast through December indicates water deficits in much of Mexico outside of the Yucatán. Anomalies will be intense in southern Baja, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and eastern states. Surpluses are forecast in pockets of Central America and the Caribbean.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in the Yucatan

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in the Yucatan

The forecast through October indicates that water deficits will downgrade in Mexico but persist from Chihuahua into Durango and along the Coatzacoalcos and Papaloapan Rivers in Veracruz. Areas of surplus include the Yucatan and pockets in Central America.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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