Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses to persist in N Mainland SE Asia
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits continue across S and E Europe

Severe to exceptional surpluses will mostly resolve in Western Europe, but emerge in northern countries. Severe to exceptional deficits will persist in Southern and Eastern Europe. 

Europe: Deficits continue across S and E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus to persist ...

Widespread extreme to exceptional surpluses will dissipate in northern regions of Australia, as will exceptional deficits in several regions of the continent. Severe to extreme surpluses will persist in isolated regions of Western Australia and Northern Territory. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus to persist in Western Australia, Northern Territory
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Canadian Shield, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain widespread in several areas of the Canadian Shield and Atlantic regions. Exceptional surplus is anticipated in much of the Arctic Region. 

Canada: Deficits remain in Canadian Shield, Atlantic regions
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Deficits to occur in SW, N, NE ...

Widespread deficits of varying intensity will occur in the southwest, northern, and northeastern states. Severe to extreme surpluses will remain in Florida, as well as in most noncontiguous states.  

United States: Deficits to occur in SW, N, NE states

South Asia

South Asia: Water deficits to persist in India, transition to moderate surpluses in June

Widespread water deficits are forecast in India through May, with exceptional deficits from Gujarat through Rajasthan, and in India's southern tip. From June through November a transition to moderate surpluses is forecast across central India; deficits are expected in Assam. Flooding is forecast in August along the Gandaki River in Nepal.

South Asia: Water deficits forecast to persist in India, transitioning to surpluses in June

Widespread water deficits, with large areas of exceptional deficits, are forecast for much of India through April 2016. Both deficits and surpluses are forecast during this period for southeastern India and Sri Lanka. Deficits are expected to transition to moderate to severe surpluses June through October. Moderate surpluses are also forecast to emerge along the northern portion of the Indus River in Pakistan in August. 

South Asia: Water deficits expected in Southern Afghanistan, Pakistan, and portions of India; surpluses forecast in southeastern India, Sri Lanka, northeastern Afghanistan, and Nepal

The forecast through September 2016 indicates water deficits in southern Afghanistan, Pakistan, and portions of India, with many areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses. Surpluses are forecast in southeastern India, Sri Lanka, northeastern Afghanistan, and Nepal.

 

South Asia: Exceptional deficits forecast across much of India through February; notable surpluses in southeastern India

The forecast through August 2016 indicates water deficits in southern Afghanistan, Pakistan, and most of India, with some areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses. Notable surpluses are forecast in southeastern India. Surpluses are also forecast for Sri Lanka, northeastern Afghanistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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