Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in Amazonas and the Bolivarian Nations, but will diminish in size.  

South America: Deficits persist in Amazonas, Bolivarian Nations
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of the Prairie Provinces, as well as in regions of central and eastern Canada. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in various regions of Nunavut. 

Canada: Deficits persist in Prairie Provinces, C and E Canada

water surplus

Australia: Exceptional drought forecast to persist in Tasmania, Victoria, southern South Australia, and from Perth southward; exceptional surpluses in the northwest

Through September 2016, the forecast indicates water surpluses in the north and along central rivers in Australia, with exceptional surpluses in northwest basins. Exceptional drought is forecast to persist in Tasmania, Victoria, southern South Australia, and from Perth southward.

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Persistent, widespread, and severe deficits forecast in Southeast Asia, Sumatra, eastern Borneo, southern Philippines, and the island of New Guinea

Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast for many parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific through September 2016. Deficits are expected to be most persistent, widespread, and severe in Southeast Asia, Sumatra, eastern Borneo, the southern Philippines, and the island of New Guinea.

 

South Asia: Water deficits expected in Southern Afghanistan, Pakistan, and portions of India; surpluses forecast in southeastern India, Sri Lanka, northeastern Afghanistan, and Nepal

The forecast through September 2016 indicates water deficits in southern Afghanistan, Pakistan, and portions of India, with many areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses. Surpluses are forecast in southeastern India, Sri Lanka, northeastern Afghanistan, and Nepal.

 

Central Asia & Russia: Widespread surpluses forecast from the Ural Mountains to the Central Siberian Plateau, Moderate deficits expected in Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan

Exceptional water surpluses are forecast along rivers in Kazakhstan and across the border into central Russia for an area extending from the Ural Mountains to the Central Siberian Plateau. Moderate water deficits are expected in Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan and are forecast to intensify in the latter portion of the forecast period.

United States: Winter water surpluses in Midwest transition to deficits across north and in the Mississippi Valley beginning in Spring

Widespread moderate to extreme deficits are forecast for Montana, Wyoming, Michigan, much of the Mississippi Valley, and New England. Surpluses are forecast for the Southern Plains, east Texas, coastal North and South Carolina, and eastern Florida. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in the Pacific Northwest, the Southeast, Missouri and Arkansas.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

For more information contact info@isciences.com.

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