The forecast through November indicates that water surpluses will shrink slightly in western and central India but emerge in Kerala. Surpluses will moderate in Bangladesh and remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Deficits will disappear in Tamil Nadu and emerge in Assam.
South Asia: Water surpluses will increase in Gujarat
South Asia: Water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread
The forecast through September indicates that water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread. Surpluses will persist in western and central India, increase in Gujarat, remain intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and downgrade in Bangladesh. Deficits in southern India and southern Pakistan will nearly disappear.
South Asia: Water surpluses to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan
The forecast through August indicates that water surpluses will shrink in India, leaving a broad path from Gujarat into the Gangetic Plain. Surpluses will moderate in Bangladesh, but remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Conditions in Tamil Nadu will normalize from prior deficit.
South Asia: Intense water surplus to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan
The forecast through July indicates that water surpluses will shrink considerably overall but remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Areas of surplus in India include the Far North, central Rajasthan, and Karnataka. Deficits will intensify in India’s Far Northeast and emerge in coastal Maharashtra.