Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits

Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.  

Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in regions of Central Canada, the Prairie Provinces, and some of the Northern Territories.  

Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, central Canada
United States
ISciences staff
United States: Deficits expand throughout SW, ...

Severe to exceptional deficits will expand throughout southwestern, central, and northeastern states. Surpluses will persist in Alaska and in portions of Florida.

United States: Deficits expand throughout SW, NE, central States
*Water Watch Lists
ISciences staff
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List January ...

The forecast for January 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2024 through September 2025 in northern Africa, southwestern U.S., northern South America, and western South Asia. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, South Asia, and Central America.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List January 2025
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Pockets of ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Pockets of surpluses persist throughout SE Asia

South Asia

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in Bangladesh & SW India

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in Bangladesh & SW India

The forecast through January 2021 indicates intense water surpluses in much of western India and the Deccan Plateau, Bangladesh, eastern Nepal into western Bhutan, and in the upper Harirud and Helmand River Watersheds of Afghanistan. Deficits will emerge in northwestern India.

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in many regions

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in many regions

The forecast through December indicates that widespread water surpluses will persist in western India and the Deccan Plateau, Bangladesh, eastern Nepal, and many regions of Pakistan and Afghanistan. Intense deficits will emerge in Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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