South Asia

South Asia: Intense water surplus forecast for Madhya Pradesh

South Asia: Intense water surplus forecast for Madhya Pradesh

The forecast through April indicates that water surpluses will dominate much of India’s breadth and will be exceptional in central Madhya Pradesh. Deficits will emerge in the Far Northeast. Intense surpluses will persist in Bangladesh and Nepal and shrink somewhat in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses to persist in India & Bangladesh

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses to persist in India & Bangladesh

The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water surpluses of varying intensity will continue to dominate the breadth of India with intense anomalies in central Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, western Maharashtra, south-central Karnataka, central Chhattisgarh, and the Far East. Surpluses are also forecast for Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, Sri Lanka, rivers in Pakistan, and central Afghanistan.

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses will persist

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses will persist

Through January 2020 surpluses are forecast for much of the region including exceptional anomalies in India from Mumbai into Kerala, the Narmada River Basin, and central Rajasthan. Surpluses will remain intense throughout Bangladesh and will increase in Afghanistan, with exceptional anomalies forecast in the Upper Helmand River Watershed and around Mazar-e Sharif.

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses forecast

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses forecast

The forecast through December indicates that water surpluses of varying intensity will dominate most of India and will include exceptional anomalies from Mumbai into Kerala; the Indravati River Basin; the Narmada River Basin; and central Rajasthan. Surpluses are also forecast for Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, the Indus River system in Pakistan, and much of Afghanistan.

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses forecast

South Asia: Widespread water surpluses forecast

The forecast through November indicates that water deficits in India will nearly disappear, as areas of deficit normalize or transition to surplus. Surpluses will persist in a vast stretch from Gujarat through Rajasthan, increasing in Madhya Pradesh. Surpluses are also forecast from Mumbai into Karnataka, and for central Uttar Pradesh. Southern India and Sri Lanka will transition from deficit to surplus. Widespread surpluses will persist in central Afghanistan.