The forecast through April indicates widespread water surpluses in the Yellow River Basin, the Yangtze Basin, Northeast China, and Tibet. Intense deficits are expected in Yunnan and Mongolia and severe deficits in Hainan. In North Korea, deficits are forecast in the northeast.
East Asia: Water surpluses forecast for southern China
East Asia: Water deficits forecast for DPRK, Shandong, & Anhui
Through January 2020 deficits are forecast for Mongolia, North Korea, and the following regions of China: eastern Xinjiang, southern Yunnan, Taiwan, Fujian, the Shandong Peninsula, southern Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu. Anomalies will be exceptional in Xinjiang, Mongolia, Yunnan, and Taiwan. Surpluses are forecast in Northeast China and a wide path from Tibet through the Yellow River Basin.
East Asia: Intense water surpluses will persist in NE China
The forecast through December indicates intense water surpluses in Northeast China and surpluses of varying intensity from Tibet through the Yellow River Watershed. Surpluses in China’s south and southeast will shrink and moderate. Deficits are forecast for Shandong, northern Inner Mongolia, eastern Xinjiang, Mongolia, and pockets of North Korea and Honshu, Japan.
East Asia: Water surpluses will persist but downgrade in SE China
The forecast through November indicates that water anomalies will shrink and downgrade in the region though surpluses will remain widespread in several vast areas of China including the southeast and northeast. Deficits will downgrade on the Shandong Peninsula, retreat from South Korea, and persist in North Korea, especially around Pyongyang. Near-normal conditions will return to a vast extent across the middle of China and the south. Moderate surpluses will persist in Kyushu, Japan.